Computerworld Editorial on Past, Present, and Future of Palm OS
Computerworld have published an opinion piece regarding the current status and future outlook of the Palm OS. Authored by long-time Palm handheld owner and former publisher of the Palm Reader e-mail newsletter, Mike Elgan, the piece takes a refreshingly hysteric-free look at the early days of Palm Computing and points out Palm’s numerous missteps and hiccups along the way. Elgan cautions that while the early brilliance of Hawkins and Dubinsky must not go overlooked, a loss of control of both the company and the product began Palm's decline. Long-term followers of the platform will be surprised at Elgan's assertion that this began not during the tumultuous 3com/Palm Inc./PalmSource/Handspring days of the late 90s/ early 00s but rather during the US Robotics' acquisition of Palm in 1995 -- a year prior to the first Pilot even shipping!
To quote just one succinct piece from the article:
"How many times has Palm distracted, divided and plundered the company with spin-offs, acquisitions and mismanagement?"
While a well-written editorial always makes for an interesting read and offers plenty of engaging debate, this article takes on renewed significance on what may be the eve of may be the sale of Palm Inc. and/or the launch of a revolutionary new product freshly hatched from the fertile mind of Jeff Hawkins. Regardless of one's opinion of Palm's current direction and initiative, this editorial is a must-read for veteran Palm OS pundits as well as new users curious about the platform’s roots.
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RE: Well see....
Tim
I apologise for any and all emoticons that appear in my posts. You may shoot them on sight.
Treo 270 ---> Treo 650 ---> Crimson Treo 680
The Me-Too Media is often wrong
Uh...I don't think so.
He's in a backroom developing something for Numenta.
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
In the lone interview that started this meme he was refering to the PDA/Smartphone industry and portable devices in general. I was also at a Palm Analyst meeting where he again spoke on his "secret" work as being related to mobile computing and he didn't talk about Numenta.
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
And ALL the interviews with him that are fairly recent strictly discuss his brain crap.
Numenta, not Palm, is his main interest.
Hard solid in-your-face evidence?
Nah...but the Hawkins fanboys CERTAINLY don't have ANYTHING to back up their own pet theories.
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
Of course if they come out with a TX2, I'll be all over that!
PDA's Past and Present:
Palm - IIIxe, Vx, M500, M505, Tungsten T, TX
Handspring - Edge, Platinum
Sony - SJ22
Apple - MP2000, MP2100
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
Other SEC filings by PALM overtly mention "important people to PALM" share/option holdings and Hawkins was noticeably missing from the list. That is strange because he IS still "known" as the uber-vague "member of the exec".
See pages 5, 6, 18, and 19, for example:
I guess "member of the exec" doesn't really mean anything material, eh?
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
There's *nothing* quick about Palm, even it's death.
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
I'm pretty sure I can say this without getting anyone in trouble: there is something new in the works at Palm and it's far enough along that there are pre-release devices that have been circulated internally and also to a select group of people outside the company (myself not included). I'm not the only one outside that group who has been aware of this. Mike Mace has blogged about it, for example. And no, I'm not going to say anything more about it.
David Beers
Pikesoft Mobile Computing
www.pikesoft.com/blog
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
Tim
I apologise for any and all emoticons that appear in my posts. You may shoot them on sight.
Treo 270 ---> Treo 650 ---> Crimson Treo 680
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
> new in the works at Palm and it's far enough along that there are pre-release
> devices that have been circulated internally and also to a select group
> of people outside the company (myself not included)...
It would be Big News if there were NOT something new in the works at PALM.
That is not, nor ever has been AFAIK, in question by anyone.
The "Hawkins...Hawkins...Hawkins...not Hawkins" part up there, however, has and was what was being discussed.
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
On Palm and its future
Future Treo products. Palm is working on products that will combine WiFi and cellular. "Stay tuned." I took that to mean a Treo with WiFi built in. I hope the operators will be willing to sell it.
Beyond smartphones. "Are there are other segments of the market that we could go after with new designs and new form factors and are we going to do that? Sure. Absolutely."
"We're a mobile computing company...so you can expect us to do more products...that leverage the fact that every one of you is going to have a broadband modem in your pocket which is instantly accessible to the Internet and the outside world. We think that's a pretty cool thing and we're working on products that take advantage of that."
"They (users) have a high-speed connection...to their pocket...Boy, is there things we can deliver to them, and is there compelling experiences that we can deliver to them, that are going to help us differentiate our products? I think there are, and we're working on things like that."
Same vague hints that Palm has been giving for a year: Broadband modem, lots of local storage, think what we could do for that. What I think I'm hearing is: A mobile product with WiFi, which Palm pairs with Web services that deliver content and do other things for the user. I wish I knew what those things are -- that'll be the interesting part.
Do Palm PDAs (no phone built in) have a future? It's been shrinking, because we've been cannibalizing it with the Treo. But it's still a $300 million business. My translation: We'll keep offering them as long as people buy. But we're not putting a lot of energy into them.
On the LifeDrive: "Too big, too late to the game" compared to iPod. Wow, if they expected that thing to compete with the iPod, they were even more naive than I thought. They didn't have the iTunes-like service, and they tried to be all things to all people. I hoped they learned the right lessons for their next generation products.
Is Linux in Palm's future? We look at Linux as being an interesting community to leverage. (He then branched to a discussion of Palm OS.) There are a lot of users who have loyalty to Palm OS and love it. "We want to take the Palm OS forward." That little quote makes a lot more sense now that we know he was in the process of buying rights to Palm OS Garnet. But what does he mean by leveraging the Linux community?
Is Palm for sale? Companies don't get sold, they get bought. We're trying to execute against a brand, to build a great brand. I think the implication was: 'we're not trying actively to sell ourselves, but we're publicly traded and would have to listen if somebody offered a bunch of money over the market price.' I have heard companies be a lot more vehement about "we're not for sale." So I'd call this a non-denial denial. Or maybe he was just trying to be polite.
PDA's Past and Present:
Palm - IIIxe, Vx, M500, M505, Tungsten T, TX
Handspring - Edge, Platinum
Sony - SJ22
Apple - MP2000, MP2100
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
There is no evidence that Hawkins is associated with PALM in ANY major way anymore - he ceased to be CTO this time last year - hardly what someone who is The Force behind a MAJOR THANG will be ceasing to do just before its introduction.And ALL the interviews with him that are fairly recent strictly discuss his brain crap.
Numenta, not Palm, is his main interest.
Hard solid in-your-face evidence?
Nah...but the Hawkins fanboys CERTAINLY don't have ANYTHING to back up their own pet theories.
Sorry SV, here's the evidence that proves you're wrong.
http://palmaddict.typepad.com/palmaddicts/2007/03/jeff_hawkins_is.html
JEFF: Just to be clear, I have two jobs: I work at Palm, and Numenta. Actually, I’m an employee of Palm, and a volunteer at Numenta (laugh). I don’t want anyone to think like ‘Jeff’s left Palm’, that just isn’t true.
PJA: First of all, what is your current title at Palm?JEFF: The title on my card is “Founder,” and I work part-time, half-time like I said before. I basically work on new projects…projects that aren’t in the public view as of yet.
You know, I wouldn’t continue working at Palm unless I felt there was a real opportunity to improve upon the state of personal computing. I think personal computing is important, and can we make better computing products. I feel great about Palm. The smartphone is starting to take off. I’ve been predicting this for the past 6 years… and, now it’s happening. Smartphone adoption is going to keep growing rapidly for some number of years, and we’ve got some clever and cool plans that you’ll see unfold over the next year. I’m not worried about the company, and Palm’s fans shouldn’t worry about it either.
And in case you and Surur still think the LifeDrive was Palm's secret third business...
PJA: Well, you’ve dropped some broad hints yourself over the past year about the infamous, legendary ‘3rd arm of the Palm business?JEFF: Yes; and I did that on purpose, by the way. So, what’s your question?
PJA: So, you meant it, then? In that case, when? 2007, 2008?
JEFF: We’re going to be announcing something…but I won’t tell you what it is…we will be launching this year, not in the distant future. I’ll give you a much bigger hint: I’m going to be speaking at Walt Mossberg’s D Conference in May. It’s a high-end industry conference. Anyway, I’m going to be giving a talk there, and that would be something for the Palm fans to keep a close watch on.
content is going mobile. visit www.mobileread.com for news and discussion.
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
BTW, thanks for the link. So there may well be a very bright light at the end of this tunnel after all. Although I don't have the complete confidence that Hawkins suggests, I will be looking forward to the announcements in May. I certainly hope that I will be "pleasantly surprised" if not "completely astounded".
This interview would do well to get a headline article here at PIC.
(PS. for those who haven't been around a lot, the first paragraph is intended to be sarcastic.)
Thinking about Vista? Think again: http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/~pgut001/pubs/vista_cost.txt
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RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
Indeed. Look for it shortly. ;)
It's a great interview - mainly because it reveals more about how Palm is handling recent developments in the market and it's own business than we've heard in the last six months! That, and it's wildly optimistic, although you could probably expect that from the founder...
Tim
I apologise for any and all emoticons that appear in my posts. You may shoot them on sight.
Treo 270 ---> Treo 650 ---> Crimson Treo 680
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
In the face of that interview I would have to eat crow and admit the LifeDrive was not the 3rd business. I guess I will have to join the bunch speculating what this company-changing venture will be.
Surur
They said I only argued for the sake of arguing, but after an hour I convinced them they were wrong...
Hey!! I made associate writer at PDA247. Come see my nattering over there!!
www.clieuk.co.uk/wm.shtml
RE: The Me-Too Media is often wrong
I think all should.
Numenta and its focus:
No, particular thing to quote here, however I think Mr. Hawkins needs to do a little more reading on Image Processing/Recognition, Neural Networks, Genetic Algorithms, and similar work. Maybe he should subscribe to the IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/RecentIssue.jsp?punumber=34
or maybe the Transactions on Neural Networks http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/RecentIssue.jsp?punumber=72 .
Next Great Thang:
== "...Well, you’ve dropped some broad hints yourself over the past
== year about the infamous, legendary ‘3rd arm of the Palm business?..."
Note - those hints were actually dropped much longer ago than "the past year".
== "...JEFF: Yes; and I did that on purpose, by the way. So, what’s
== your question?..."
Testy, eh?
he then goes on to say something is going to be introduced without saying what is going to be introduced is The Next Great Thang.
Buyout:
== "...I wouldn’t pay attention to that. 90% of the time, there isn’t a
== shred of fact to those rumors..."
Me-Too Media Are Slaves to Corporate Daddies & Agendas
You're surely not the PIC Ryan. That info about Hawkins slipping out is ooold news.
Nice thread going here tho. It is clear that Hawkins is de-emphasizing Palm. He was even quoted as saying he had nothing to do with "Palm's" Treo 650 way back. He is a visionary and as the piece said, a "design fascist". That's what once made Palm great (Apple continues) and why they even make a buck today.
IMO, the Palm core is 2/3 gone. When Colligen can dump this corporate monkey on Motorola or whoever out there for a dime, then the three may try to do it all over again under a completely new and fresh organization. Hopefully they can do the corporate funding i$$ue$ successfully this time.
The following quote from the article is also succinct IMO. This is the core of Palm's current disaster:
"The $64,000 question is, Has Palm lost its mojo? In other words, does Palm still think like Apple -- that the product is everything -- or is the company thinking more like HP, where partnerships, branding shell games and big enterprise deals are most important?"
Anyone who can't answer the above Q is just not paying very good attention.
Long live the Palm "idea"!
Pat Horne
RE: Me-Too Media Are Slaves to Corporate Daddies & Agendas
gimmi the 64k :-)
Palm Professional -> Palm III -> Palm Vx -> Palm m505 -> Palm TT2 -> Palm TT3 -> Palm TX -> Treo680
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Well see....
All good things...